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Drought Monitor

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Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Sat Aug 11, 2007 6:35 pm

I'm not sure where this link should go, but I thought I would share the info with the people of the forum. This link takes you to the state of MS, but you could click at the top to see the U.S. and then click on a different state. It is is interesting to note that where I live is in Desoto county and the drought is bad here but worse to the east. Also, if I drove 1 hr south, the conditions would be considered normal. Anyway, I think they update this site weekly. Greg, you may or you may not like to have this in your links on the left side of this page. Anyway, I emailed you today about your forum being down for several hours and then I went down for a while. Good to see we are up and running again. Here is the link.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_state.htm?MS,S
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby gtk » Sun Aug 12, 2007 5:01 pm

That is a good link 7 pointE..


there were internet problems all over , i think , yesterday...
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Thu Aug 16, 2007 7:08 am

Well, a week has gone by since the website's last update and this BIGTIME HEAT WAVE has made the drought worse. Compare, if you seen or can remember last week's drought monitor to this weeks. The area has expanded greatly. Have a GOOD DAY.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_state.htm?MS,S
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby gtk » Thu Aug 16, 2007 7:11 am

That puts us in an Extreme drought.. They are talking about a break though, temps only making it to the upper 90's by Sunday :roll:
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby gtk » Thu Aug 16, 2007 7:13 am

Look at our neighbors in Alabama too :shock:
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Thu Aug 23, 2007 7:13 am

Well, as expected, it's one week later and drought conditions are worse than last week. Some day soon, when I have the time, I will learn how to post a picture. Anyway, check the state of MS out again. Where I hunt is in better condition than where I live, but if rain doesn't come soon, the fall planting will be a waste. :oops:


http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_state.htm?MS,S
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby gtk » Thu Aug 23, 2007 8:08 am

Its past bad now... If you are lucky enough to have some hay, it will be bringing a premium right now... I expect most hay this winter will end up coming from the west..

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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Thu Aug 30, 2007 7:10 am

Well, another week has gone by and we just can't get any rain. It looks like rain outside today. Conditions are the same to a little worse than last week. O.K., we know how the map of drought looks and where the link is, but I thought I would add some more info to this topic within one of the related links.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/pns/auto_esf.php


This article sums up that the drought depending on location is a ONCE IN 20 YEAR or A ONCE IN A 50 YEAR drought.

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
806 AM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...HISTORIC DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...

THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR WHICH WAS ISSUED THURSDAY AUGUST
23RD...PLACES AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTINGTON TN...TO JACKSON
TN...TO FULTON MS HAS BEEN PLACED IN A EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT OR D4
WHICH IS A ONCE-IN-FIFTY YEAR DROUGHT. MOST OF WEST TENNESSEE AND
EXTREME NORTH MISSISSIPPI ARE IN THE EXTREME DROUGHT CATEGORY OR
D3. THIS IS THE SECOND WORST OF THE FIVE-LEVEL CLASSIFICATION AND
INDICATIVE OF AT LEAST A ONCE-IN-TWENTY YEAR DROUGHT. THE MEMPHIS
METROPOLITAN AREA...TUPELO MS...HOLLY SPRINGS MS...DYERSBURG
TN...AND PARIS TN ARE INCLUDED IN THIS EXTREME DROUGHT AREA.

MUCH OF THE SEVERE DROUGHT CATEGORY OR D2 DROUGHT INCLUDES THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA INCLUDING EASTERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE HAVE EXPERIENCED
THE DRIEST CONDITIONS OVER THE MIDSOUTH SO FAR THIS YEAR. MANY
LOCATIONS ARE RUNNING 12-20 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR RAINFALL SO
FAR THIS YEAR.

PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE RAPIDLY WITH
REGARDS TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS. MANY LOCATIONS HAVE ONLY RECEIVED
4-8 INCHES SINCE JUNE 1ST MAKING CONDITIONS EXCEPTIONALLY DRY.
WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL RELIEF IN THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO...MORE
LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO AN EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT OR D4
WHICH IS A ONCE-IN-FIFTY YEAR DROUGHT.

BELOW ARE TABLES FROM SELECTED OBSERVING SITES ACROSS NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND WEST TENNESSEE THAT DISPLAY THE TOP 5 DRIEST
YEARS SINCE JANUARY 1ST. ALSO INCLUDED ARE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
RAINFALL DEFICITS.


TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR MEMPHIS TN THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1930-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 19.60 IN 1936
2. 19.77 IN 1931
3. 19.80 IN 1941
4. 21.18 IN 2007*
5. 22.09 IN 1986

RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:

MEMPHIS TN
-------------------------------------------------------------------
SINCE AUGUST 1............2.13 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF +0.65 INCHES*
SINCE JUNE 1..............7.55 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 3.10 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............14.28 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 12.39 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............21.18 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 14.54 INCHES



TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR JACKSON TN THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1948-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 16.80 IN 2007*
2. 24.23 IN 1958
3. 24.95 IN 1987
4. 25.89 IN 1986
5. 26.04 IN 1969

RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:

JACKSON TN
-------------------------------------------------------------------
SINCE AUGUST 1............1.03 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 0.99 INCHES
SINCE JUNE 1..............4.51 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 7.44 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............10.39 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 17.29 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............16.80 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 19.61 INCHES



TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR WFO MEMPHIS TN THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1986-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 20.80 IN 2007*
2. 27.37 IN 1992
3. 31.59 IN 2006
4. 32.18 IN 1995
5. 32.20 IN 1993


RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:

WFO MEMPHIS TN
-------------------------------------------------------------------
SINCE AUGUST 1............0.80 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 0.98 INCHES
SINCE JUNE 1..............7.58 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 3.20 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............13.40 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 12.89 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............21.12 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 13.48 INCHES



TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR TUPELO MS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1930-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 17.85 IN 1988
2. 19.77 IN 1943
3. 21.92 IN 1986
4. 22.01 IN 1958
5. 22.77 IN 1941

*NOTE* 2007 RANKED 6TH WITH 23.33 IN


RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:

TUPELO MS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
SINCE AUGUST 1........... 0.32 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 1.52 INCHES
SINCE JUNE 1..............9.81 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 0.50 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............16.02 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 11.17 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............23.33 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 13.84 INCHES



TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR ABERDEEN MS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1900-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 17.23 IN 2007*
2. 18.34 IN 1988
3. 19.81 IN 1942
4. 21.79 IN 1986
5. 21.84 IN 1952


TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR CORINTH 7 SW MS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1903-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 19.29 IN 2007*
2. 23.43 IN 1943
3. 24.27 IN 1988
4. 26.01 IN 1992
5. 26.68 IN 1960


TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR HOLLY SPRINGS MS THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1948-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 23.78 IN 2007*
2. 25.21 IN 2000
3. 25.49 IN 1986
4. 26.26 IN 1988
5. 27.46 IN 1977


TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR SAVANNAH 6 SW TN THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1894-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 21.22 IN 1941
2. 21.35 IN 2007*
3. 21.37 IN 1986
4. 23.57 IN 1943
5. 23.82 IN 1918


TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR JACKSON EXPERIMENT STATION TN THROUGH AUGUST 22ND:
(DATA FROM 1891-2007)

YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH AUGUST 22ND
------------------------------
1. 17.22 IN 2007*
2. 18.48 IN 1941
3. 22.89 IN 1925
4. 23.02 IN 1958
5. 23.04 IN 1914


...AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...
VERY DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
HAVE LOWERED SOIL MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN TO VERY LOW. TENNESSEE
CONTINUES TO REPORT POOR TO VERY POOR CONDITIONS TO OVER HALF OF
THE PASTURES DUE TO THIS DROUGHT. NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WEST
TENNESSEE CONTINUE TO REPORT LOW TO VERY LOW SOIL MOISTURE. HAY
PRODUCTION IS VERY LOW THIS YEAR IN THESE AREAS AND IT HAS FORCED
MANY FARMERS TO SELL CATTLE HERDS.

MANY COTTON AND SOYBEAN FIELDS ARE MUCH SMALLER THAN NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR BUT THESE FIELDS HAVE BENEFITED FROM RECENT
RAINS. COMMERCIAL HORTICULTURE...INCLUDING THE GROWTH OF FRUITS
AND VEGETABLES...IS ALSO BEING NEGATIVELY AFFECTED. CORN AND WHEAT
ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE REDUCED YIELDS THIS YEAR.

...HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS...
MANY OF STREAMS...LAKES...AND RIVERS ARE BELOW OR WELL BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MANY RIVERS ARE CURRENTLY AT OR
NEAR BASE FLOW INCLUDING MANY APPROACHING HISTORIC LOWS. EVEN
THOUGH THERE CONTINUES TO BE A LACK OF RAINFALL...THERE ARE NO
KNOWN WATER USE RESTRICTIONS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WITH EXCEPTION OF
GERMANTOWN WHERE WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN PLACE UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

...FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
RECENT DRY WEATHER AND LACK OF RAINFALL HAVE MADE BURNING
DANGEROUS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH. MOST LOCATIONS HAVE ONLY RECEIVED
AN INCH OR LESS OF RAINFALL SINCE AUGUST 1ST...AND ARE STILL
WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THE YEAR.

THE ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION HAS BURN BANS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...

GREENE COUNTY...RANDOLPH COUNTY...POINSETT COUNTY...ST FRANCIS
COUNTY...CRAIGHEAD COUNTY AND LEE COUNTY...UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

THE MISSISSIPPI STATE FORESTRY COMMISSION HAS BURN BANS IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI...

MARSHALL COUNTY...UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
DESOTO COUNTY...UNTIL AUGUST 31ST.
UNION COUNTY...UNTIL SEPTEMBER 1ST.
PANOLA COUNTY...UNTIL SEPTEMBER 15TH.
PONTOTOC COUNTY...UNTIL SEPTEMBER 15TH.
LAFAYETTE COUNTY...UNTIL SEPTEMBER 5TH.

THE MEMPHIS AND SHELBY COUNTY TENNESSEE FIRE DEPARTMENTS HAVE BURN
BANS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

SHELBY COUNTY...UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

THE TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY ALSO RECOMMENDS CAUTION WITH
OUTDOOR BURNING ACROSS ALL OF WEST TENNESSEE DURING THIS EXTREME
DROUGHT PERIOD. PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL GOVERNMENT OR FIRE CONTROL
OFFICIALS FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING ADDITIONAL BURN RESTRICTIONS.

ONLY SMALL WILDFIRES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH.

...OUTLOOK...
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE MIDSOUTH. UNFORTUNATELY...THE HEAT AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF AUGUST WITH NO
REAL SIGNIFICANT RELIEF IS IN SIGHT UNTIL THE END OF THE MONTH.
THUS...THE DROUGHT SITUATION ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
WORSEN.

THE MONTHS OF AUGUST...SEPTEMBER...AND OCTOBER ARE CLIMATOLOGICALLY
THE THREE DRIEST MONTHS OF THE YEAR FOR THE MIDSOUTH. THUS...BELOW
NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS AN INDICATION OF EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS.

...UPDATE STATEMENT...
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY AUGUST
30TH.


Page dynamically generated at: 12:53 GMT August 30, 2007
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Sat Sep 08, 2007 4:31 pm

Check this out Gregg, the drought monitor will do a 12 week progression. Can you add this to this page or somewhere. Thanks. It's pretty cool.

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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby gtk » Sat Sep 08, 2007 5:50 pm

Looks like alabama is hurten worse than we are in North MS... :?
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Re: Drought Monitor

Postby 7 Point E » Sat Sep 08, 2007 7:51 pm

I went to Birmingham back in Mid July and you could tell a difference from near the Ms state line, about 20 miles east of Tupelo. The difference was not overly magnified from here during the height of August, IMO. Regardless, it's still bad. We are like 16 inches behind for the year and I bet, need to look up for certainity, that we are in the 40-45 inch range below for the last 3 years, including this yr.
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